Online streaming giant Netflix is one of the top internet stocks across the globe. Shares of the media company have soared 125% in 2015, 13% in 2016 and 55% in 2017. The stock is already up over 80% in 2017. Shares of Netflix peaked to an all-time high of $423.21 last month and have since declined after it released its Q2 2018 earnings results.
Why Did Netflix Shares Decline Recently?
Though Netflix beat earnings estimates, it reported Q2 revenue below analyst projections. Netflix also added 5.2 million new subscribers in the second quarter, below estimates of 6.2 million in Q2. In the United States alone, Netflix added 700,000 subscribers which were below the estimated figure of 1.2 million.
At the end of Q2, Netflix had 130 million subscribers, an increase of 25% year-over-year compared to 104 million subscribers at end of the second quarter in 2017.
Has User Growth For Netflix Started To Decline?
In the last seven out of the nine quarters, Netflix has been able to beat user forecasts. The last time Netflix reported user subscription below estimates was in Q1 2017 when it added 5 million users, compared to a forecast of 5.2 million. What’s more, Netflix expects to add 5 million subscribers in Q3 including 650,000 in the United States. This indicates an addition of 4.35 million global subscribers.
Netflix has stated that its subscriber base can grow between 60 million and 90 million in the United States, indicating an addition of approximately 30 million subscribers at the high end of its projection. After significant expansion, Netflix now has approximately 57 million domestic subscribers. With this comes the hiccup – it has practically no room to grow subscribers if we take the conservative estimate of 60 million subscribers.
The company is also facing challenges by bigger players with more cash in hand such as Amazon Prime and Amazon Studios. Further, Disney is looking to launch its streaming platform in 2019.
Key Drivers For Netflix
Yes, Netflix’s stock has been negatively impacted post Q2 results. But Netflix’s growth story is far from over. The company expects revenue to grow by 33.6% in Q3 with earnings growth of 134%. Netflix again expects to add 5 million subscribers in Q3.
Netflix can approximately double its subscriber base to 250 million over the next 10 years, given the total available market. Netflix currently has 300 million user profiles across 450 million devices.
There are growth opportunities in emerging markets like India where Netflix has about 5 million subscribers compared to the market leader Hotstar which has 75 million subscribers. The Indian online streaming market is estimated to grow by 35% year-over-year. Netflix has been targeting market share by generating original content.
The first two seasons of Narcos scored massive hits while Sacred Games has also been popular among the Indian audience. Production on the first Arabic series Jinn has reportedly begun. Netflix will be spending around $8 billion in original content for 2018.
Though there are concerns over Netflix, the company’s revenue is still estimated to grow by 35.6% in 2018, 24.8% in 2019 and 21.6% in 2020. Comparatively, its bottom line or earnings is estimated to grow by 116% in 2018, 61.9% in 2019 and at a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 62.5% over the next five years.
Does This Provide An Opportunity For Investors To Buy Netflix?
Although Netflix has generated spectacular returns over the last few years, potential investors might be wary about entering at current levels. However, the recent stock decline post Netflix’s quarterly results indicate that the stock is trading at a discount of over 10% to average analyst price targets of $377.60.
Out of the 40 analysts tracking Netflix, 60% of analysts (or 24 analysts) recommend a “buy” while 35% recommend a “hold” and only 5% recommend to “sell” the stock. Netflix has a high 12-month price target estimate of $503.
INFOGRAPHIC: How To Invest Your Money (In 8 Simple Steps)
Plenty of savers are making do with low rates of return on their deposits—almost eroding the value of their savings. Here’s a guide on how you should invest your money and gain some great returns off it.
Stock Trading: How to Choose the Best Online Brokers
Stock trading can be a risky business but done right it is an extremely lucrative investment option which yields excellent returns. It is true that trading is quite intimidating for someone who is new to the market and its ways which gives rise to the need for a good stock broker who can handle the job and ensure that the client gets the best returns possible for the money he or she is investing. But as a new investor it is absolutely important that you choose a very good trading broker. Here are some tips that will help you make that choice better.
Understand your trading needs
Before you even look into the services of a trading broker, it is essential that you are aware of your goals and needs from your stock trading. Firstly, prioritise your investment value, short term and long-term goal, and time that you are willing to spend on your trading in order to figure out where you stand. Now, narrow down on the specific kinds of stock exchange that you are looking into. With the wide variety of options available that you can choose from, it is important to narrow down to the specific field or fields and finally look for brokers who suit your specific needs.
Have a clear talk about trading fees
It is important to have a clear-cut discussion on brokerage fee and commissions that your broker will charge you. Ask about the charges per transaction, basic account charges, account minimums and even reimbursements if and when you choose to part ways so that you can have a proper idea about how much you are about to fork out for your trading. It is a good idea to have the talk beforehand so that you do not get into an arrangement which later becomes financially burdensome for you.
Look up reviews on the broker
You would not buy a new product without checking what its previous users have to say, right? Similarly, look up your prospective brokers No matter how promising or lucrative a broker seems with the terms, make sure you check the reviews by InvestinGoal to ensure that you are actually getting a good deal and not being sweet talked into not a good broker or even worse, being conned of your money.
Ask your questions
Do not be afraid to ask whatever questions that come to your mind before you make a deal. This will help you understand your trading better and thus, to get the absolute best out of your investment. It will also help you uncover any hidden charges, non transparent clauses as well that might have later hindered the desirable growth of your stock.
Give a test run
Ask the broker if you can give a test run of your account, and his technology before you actually invest your hard earned money. Many brokers allow you to create a free account which you can use to test their platform and check out user friendliness, ease of trading, quality of tools etc and thus, make an educated decision.
Getting the right broker is definitely one step towards a good stock trading investment. Therefore, it is very important that you take utmost care in picking the very best broker for your trading needs.
3 Simple Steps To Build Your Investment Portfolio
If you’re starting out with planning your investments, chalking out your goals and how you’d like to achieve them is incredibly important. You’ll need to understand what kind of assets you’d like to invest in–be it exotic instruments like private equity or the tried and tested ones like the treasury bonds, ETFs and stocks–and invest right. Here are three key strategies to build your portfolio:
1. Building Wealth Is All About Thinking Rationally (And Smart)
Having the right mindset can play a huge role in how you build your investments. It’s simply not just about strategy. To ditch following the latest fad in the market, you need to be responsible and have a sense of social indifference–coupled with confidence and patience.
2. Invest Like A Cheapskate
If you’re pumping in $150,000 as investment, on which you incur 1% as fees, look out for ways through which you can cut them down.
If you were to cut costs by a little more than a half, that’s saving you at least $1,120 in fees every year. But that’s not it–when this saving is compounded every year, that 1% fee can tally up to a million (if saved, could win you your big ticket to becoming a millionaire!)
3. The KISS (Keep It Simple, Silly) Rule
Funnily enough, most of us think investing your way through millions demands extensive knowledge of financial instruments or strategies. Surprisingly, it’s the simplest of assets that gave the biggest investors their biggest wins. Many successful investors highlight their success to stocks, bonds and other popular alternative investments, patiently held over time.