On Aug. 2, 2018, Apple [AAPL] created history as it became the first company in the United States to be valued at $1T as per market cap. Apple’s market cap rose to a high of $1.10T and has since slipped to its current valuation of $996.3B.
Despite the recent slide, Apple shares are up 25.5% in 2018. Now that it has crushed the $1T barrier, what’s next for the tech heavyweight? What will be the next revenue driver for Apple? Can the company be valued at $2T? Analysts definitely think so.
iPhone growth might slow down
Apple’s stock was trading at $13 in Nov. 2008. The stock has since risen 1500% driven by the launch of Apple’s flagship product the iPhone as well as the hugely successful iPad. The global exponential growth in the smartphone industry created robust demand for what soon became Apple’s flagship product.
Now, this growth has stalled. The smartphone market is a mature one. Emerging markets like India will drive demand but the iPhone is too expensive for these markets. The iPhone has lost market share to Chinese companies such as Huawei, OPPO and Xiaomi.
Apple’s iPhone still accounts for over 59% of total revenue. In the recent earnings call, Apple CEO Tim Cook stated that the company will no longer publish device sales going forward. Is this an indicator of slowing demand?
Apple though remains an innovative company and allocates significant resources to research and development. It has time and again proved critics wrong especially over the last decade. Apple still remains a good long-term bet for investors. Let’s see why.
Apple’s Services business critical for the company
Apple’s Services business has been a major revenue driver for the company over the last several quarters. It accounted for 16% of total revenue in the last quarter and is as big as a Fortune 100 company in terms of revenue.
This business includes revenue from Internet services, AppleCare, Apple Pay, licensing and other services. The App Store, Apple Music and Apple Pay are all set to experience significant growth over the next few years.
Apple Music has already become the second largest music streaming platform in the United States, while the App Store generated 93% more revenue than the Google Play Store [GOOG] in the last quarter that has a far larger user base.
Apple has created a technological ecosystem with a high customer satisfaction and retention rate.
Apple Car rumored to launch by 2023
Noted Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo expects the company to launch the Apple Car by 2023 that will push it towards the next trillion dollar valuation. Kuo stated that Apple’s high growth services segment, AR futures, and its secretive car project (also known as Project Titan) will propel it towards a $2 trillion valuation.
This means Apple is looking to take advantage of the tectonic shift in the global automotive market. Several countries are already eyeing investments in the electric/hybrid car space as they are running out of options to combat global warming and climate change. The electric car is a terrific alternative and companies are now pumping money into this space.
Kuo stated, “Apple’s leading technology advantages (e.g. AR) would redefine cars and differentiate Apple Car from peers’ products. Apple can do a better integration of hardware, software, and service than current competitors in the consumer electronics sector and potential competitors in the auto sector.”
The $2T valuation seems like a distant dream for investors, especially in a difficult macro environment with trade wars, slowing demand, and rising interest rates. Apple though has always been able to catch the consumer’s attention with its high-end tech products and services. If the Apple Car experiences a successful launch, there will be no stopping this stock given the total available market.
FAANGs Lose Over $135B Overnight
The stock market was in a sea of red yesterday. The broader markets witnessed yet another correction. Stocks such as Facebook [FB], Apple [AAPL], Amazon [AMZN], Netflix [NFLX] and Google [GOOG], also known as FAANGs led the sell-off yesterday.
FAANGs lost over $135B in market value overnight. Analysts have raised concerns over Apple’s iPhone unit shipments. Several of them have cut iPhone shipment estimates and this has driven Apple shares lower.
Apple’s market cap has fallen from a high $1.1T to its current value of $882B. During its last earnings call, Apple had also stated that it will no longer provide data for device sales further adding fuel to fire.
Facebook trades at a two-year low
Facebook shares continue to burn investor money. Shares are down 13% this month and 20% since Oct. 2018. Facebook shares have impacted after an investigative report by New York Times accused the former of promoting anti-Semitic conspiracy theories.
Amazon shares fell declined over 5% yesterday. The stock faced the wrath of investors as it missed revenue forecasts last month. Netflix, on the other hand, has slumped over the last few months as there are concerns over the company’s international expansion efforts.
Have FAANG’s bottomed out?
FAANGs drove the markets for several years and generated spectacular returns for investors. A focus on developing innovative products and services have ensured market leadership for FAANGs.
However, since Oct. 18, these shares have declined significantly. FAANGs have lost a whopping $700B in market cap over the last 50 days. Does this mean that FAANGs have bottomed out and are trading at attractive valuations?
It’s too early to tell. We have seen that concerns over iPhone device sales, Facebook controversies, and decelerating growth for Amazon and Netflix have weighed in on stocks. Investors are now paying attention to fundamentals in an uncertain macro environment driven by rising interest rates and the trade wars between China and the United States.
Does this mean that the party is over? Certainly not! These companies are leaders in innovation and are expected to launch products and services that will help them maintain revenue growth in the near future.
Analysts though are still bullish on FAANGs. They have a 12-month target price of $233.47 for Apple, implying an upside potential of 26%. Similarly, shares of Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Google are trading 50%, 41%, 48%, and 32% respectively below their target price estimates.
3 Ways To Invest From Your Smartphone For Under $5
The numbers say 80% of Millennials don’t invest in stocks.
Reason? Half say they don’t have money, one-third says it’s for “old white men,” another third says they don’t know how.
In addition to that, there’s demographic gap. “The average age of a financial advisor is 55,”Douglas Boneparth, a New York City-based financial planner last year. “There are more financial advisors over the age of 70 than there are under 30.”
Despite these beliefs, you don’t really need much money, nor experience, to get started. (Just look at our fearless co-founder Odunayo Eweniyi and what she’s pulled off here…)
Be that as it may, here are three ways to get started for $5 or less.
What: A micro-investment app (iOS and Android) with over 30 ETFs according to industry, sector and risk tolerance.
How it works: Download the app and choose your investment.
Minimum investment: $5
Cost: Fees range from $1 a month for accounts under $5,000 to 0.25% a year.
“We help people who don’t have a lot save money on a weekly basis,” CEO and co-founder Brandon Krieg said in one interview. “Stashers look like America, they look like people you meet every day: they are nurses and teachers and Uber and Lyft drivers.”
What: iOS and Android app.
How it works: Download the app and choose one of six index funds. When you buy, say a cup of coffee for $1.75, it rounds up the change to $2 and deposits the difference.
Minimum investment: $5
Cost: Just like Stash, fees range from $1 a month for accounts under $5,000 to 0.25% a year.
“We’re not trying to preach austerity to the client, because that’s a bummer,” CMO Manning Field says. “Some people will say, ‘Don’t have the cup of coffee.’ We’ll tell you to have the cup of coffee and invest along the way.”
What: A commission-free investment app (iOS and Android).
How it works: Download and start buying stocks.
Minimum investment: Whatever stock you want to buy.
And by the way, if you want to get a fast start on real estate, here’s Forbes’ list of nine REITs with yields between 8% and 10%.
Analyst: ‘Bitcoin Just Collapsed Like A House Of Cards…’
Oh, how the mighty have fallen.
Ever since their mighty peak back in December, Bitcoin has seen a consistent plunge all year long, briefly dropping under $5k a coin today.
“Bitcoin collapsed like a house of cards on Monday,” Lukman Otunuga, research analyst at FXTM, wrote Business Insider in an email.
In fact, today’s drop continues a filthy week for Bitcoin, which has now dropped to a low not seen since December, right before the wicked explosion in prices that had Bitcoin as high as $20k per coin.
Once that happened, Bitcoin basically went mainstream, with “Blockchain” and “cryptocurrency” becoming words du jour. And once that happened, it basically created a frenzy around cryptos.
Just peep this. It’s not even a hockey chart, it’s just insanity.
Aaaaaand, here’s another showing the raucous trading activity back in December 2017.
All in all, Bitcoin lost 12% of its value in the past week and nearly 20% in the last three months.
For whatever it’s worth, it’s not just Bitcoin that’s taking a beating; other cryptos are getting slammed as well. Both Litecoin ($5.10 per coin) and Ethereum ($156/coin) are down 12%.
So, who else is bullish on crypto?!